Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Imports climbed to 381.2B in March 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
US Imports climbed to 381.2B in March 2026, released May 2026, up 8.8B from February's 372.4B reading. The reading matched the 380.5B consensus. Imports has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Imports averaged 120.33B, vs 52.99B in the prior 3-month window. Imports is now the highest in 8 months.
Latest Release
381.2
Actual
380.5
Consensus
372.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±11.29 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 391.05
Actual: 383
Error: +8.05
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT | ▲ Direct | +0.58 | STOCKS | Bullish MSFT | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.53 | FOREX | Bearish AUD | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.52 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| AAPL | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | STOCKS | Bullish AAPL | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Imports (United States) was reported at 381.20 billion in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 380.50 billion by 0.70 billion. The reading rose from the previous value of 372.40 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 307.33 billion, ranging from -3.11 billion to 4,421.22 billion across 46 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 251.63 billion, up from the prior three at 118.86 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 1,040.93 billion) is lower than the prior year (σ 1,742.71 billion). In June readings over the past 3 years, Imports has averaged 153.12 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with MSFT (Bullish MSFT). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish AUD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 11.29 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
SHARE
Imports - US
Loading chart data...
About Imports — United States
DEFINITION
US Imports of Goods & Services rose to 4134.288000 billion USD in September 2025, up from August’s 4123.437000 billion. The 0.26% month-over-month increase signals a modest uptick but remains below January’s peak of 4558.265000 billion, reflecting steady but subdued trade activity. Market reaction was muted, with investors focusing on broader macro data and upcoming earnings. Updated 4/3/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 4,421.2 M. Prior reading (Oct 2025): 4,135.6 M. Before that (Jul 2025): 4,123.4 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with MSFT (Bullish MSFT, r=0.58) — a useful reference for stocks-focused traders.