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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Czech RepublicCzech Republic Consumer Confidence fell to 104.3% in October 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Czech Republic Consumer Confidence fell to 104.3% in October 2026, down 0.8% from September's 105.1% reading. The reading matched the 103.4% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 3.1%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 103.7%, vs 105.17% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 59th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
104.3
Actual
103.4
Consensus
105.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.86 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 103.25
Actual: 104.3
Error: -1.05
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Czech Republic) was reported at 104.3% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 103.4% by 0.9%. The reading fell from the previous value of 105.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 106.8%, ranging from 102.3% to 111.7% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 103.9%, down from the prior three at 105.17%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.14%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 3.03%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged 104.13%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.86%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 24, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - CZ
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About Consumer Confidence — Czech Republic
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 104.3 %, consensus 103.4 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 105.1 %. Before that (Aug 2026): 102.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.69) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - CZ Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:30 | CZ | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 53.5 | 53.3 | 52.45 | Low | |
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | CZ | Inflation Rate MoM | 0 | 0.5 | 0.45 | Low | |
| 08:00 | CZ | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.50 | Low | |