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The widest calibrated expected moves across 1,456 instruments, refreshed daily. Each row shows the rv14-sized 60/80/95 band around the issue price — the same envelope our symbol pages and track record use — as a symmetric ±% and an absolute price range, alongside how often that symbol’s band has contained the terminal close over the last 15 forecasts. This is a magnitude view: it sizes how far price could travel, not which way. The full Expected Move Screener ranks every instrument.
Showing Cmdty · widest expected move first · toggle horizon, band and asset class below.
Last grade Aug 11, 2026
terminal-close audited · no live claims
| Asset | Price | Expected Move · 60% · 7D | Calibrated Range · Symmetric | Recent Character | 60% Band Held · LAST 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
URALS/USDCommodities | 81.8996 | ±11.9% | 72.1503now91.6488 | recently choppy | 8/15· 53% |
WTI/USDCommodities | 80.7097 | ±7.6% | 74.5705now86.8489 | recently choppy | 5/15· 33% |
JO1Commodities | 139.5333 | ±7.2% | 129.4573now149.6093 | recently choppy | 9/15· 60% |
XBR/USDCommodities | 86.0987 | ±6.7% | 80.2972now91.9002 | recently choppy | 4/15· 27% |
CC1Commodities | 5,619.97 | ±6.3% | 5,263.69now5,976.25 | recently choppy | 2/15· 13% |
XB1Commodities | 3.1026 | ±5.4% | 2.9361now3.2691 | recently choppy | 14/15· 93% |
CL1Commodities | 81.6258 | ±5.2% | 77.379now85.8725 | recently choppy | 4/15· 27% |
KC1Commodities | 322.638 | ±5.1% | 306.2395now339.0365 | recently choppy | 7/15· 47% |
CO1Commodities | 87.1277 | ±4.7% | 83.0506now91.2048 | recently choppy | 3/15· 20% |
XPD/USDCommodities | 1,370.72 | ±4.5% | 1,309.18now1,432.26 | recently choppy | 10/15· 67% |
XPT/USDCommodities | 1,754.85 | ±4.1% | 1,682.79now1,826.91 | recently choppy | 9/15· 60% |
DACommodities | 16.6776 | ±4.0% | 16.0028now17.3523 | recently trending | 13/15· 87% |
XAGg/TRYCommodities | 99.5624 | ±3.8% | 95.7388now103.3859 | recently choppy | 5/15· 33% |
XAG/TRYCommodities | 3,096.72 | ±3.8% | 2,978.05now3,215.4 | recently choppy | 5/15· 33% |
XAGg/USDCommodities | 2.0861 | ±3.8% | 2.0066now2.1657 | recently choppy | 6/15· 40% |
XAG/USDCommodities | 64.8765 | ±3.8% | 62.4078now67.3451 | recently choppy | 6/15· 40% |
XAG/GBPCommodities | 48.0443 | ±3.7% | 46.2724now49.8162 | recently choppy | 6/15· 40% |
XAG/CADCommodities | 90.4151 | ±3.7% | 87.0903now93.7399 | recently choppy | 6/15· 40% |
XAG/EURCommodities | 56.1972 | ±3.6% | 54.1741now58.2202 | recently choppy | 6/15· 40% |
XAGg/EURCommodities | 1.8068 | ±3.6% | 1.7418now1.8718 | recently choppy | 6/15· 40% |
XAG/CHFCommodities | 52.572 | ±3.5% | 50.7242now54.4199 | recently choppy | 6/15· 40% |
W_1Commodities | 630.0905 | ±3.4% | 608.676now651.5049 | recently choppy | 5/15· 33% |
NG/USDCommodities | 2.7942 | ±3.4% | 2.7005now2.888 | recently choppy | 13/15· 87% |
XAG/AUDCommodities | 91.7991 | ±3.3% | 88.7472now94.851 | recently choppy | 6/15· 40% |
SB1Commodities | 16.6847 | ±3.0% | 16.1797now17.1897 | recently choppy | 4/15· 27% |
Showing the 25 widest of 60 instruments.
Full screenerTop 2 per market · widest calibrated ±% ranges · 7-day horizon · magnitude only, not a directional call.
Understanding
The expected move is a symmetric ±% band around the issue price, sized from 14-day realised volatility (rv14). It answers one question: how far could price travel over the horizon — not which way.
Three widths — 60 / 80 / 95 — trade certainty for tightness. A wider band contains more days; a tighter one is a sharper range.
rv14
sizer
60/80/95
bands
LAST 15
audited
How It Works
Each band is sized, then held to account against what actually happened.
The containment rate you see is the running promise — a 60% band should hold on roughly 60% of days.