Coffee Futures (KC1) Commodity Forecast — Price & Market Analysis
KC1
commoditiesCurrent Price
Upcoming Forecasts
View All Forecasts →Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Containment = share of graded forecast-days the 60% band held; its 95% interval counts independent windows only (n_eff, non-overlapping, stride = horizon) — per-symbol audit; static backtest copy where the audit has no n_eff yet. Magnitude only, not a directional record.
± 4.07% expected move
backtest — refresh paused (#568)
Actionable · size by band. The validated edge is magnitude, not direction.
Coherent near-term trend; possible regime shift if 1W turns.
Context, not a trade signal · forward test pending.
Descriptive — does not size the band.
KC1's calibrated band puts the expected move at ±3.3% over 7 days, widening to ±5.0% over 28.
Sigmacast expected range · containment-audited.
Containment record withheld on 2 Nov 2026 (DC-001): commodity price bars carry Australia/Sydney local timestamps stored as UTC, so graded outcomes were computed against misdated bars. It returns when the timestamp fix lands and the rows re-settle.
As of November 10, 2026, KC1 is trading at 273.03. Our Sigmanomics forecast for this commodity generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. The 60%, 80% and 95% bands are sized from the instrument's realized volatility. Updated daily.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
SETUP
Coffee Futures (KC1) is a commodity instrument tracked by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The KC1 commodity closed at 272.67 on November 10, 2026, reflecting a decline of 2.44% from the previous close of 279.49.
WHAT'S DRIVING IT
Over the past 30 days, the commodity has experienced a modest downtrend with a decline of 4.83%, ranging between 272.08 and 318.10. The price currently trades below its 20-day moving average of 289.54. The 14-day RSI stands at 34.1, in the lower part of its range.
THE RISK
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 2.00%, reflecting typical price variability for this commodity. Our price history for KC1 begins Mar 19, 2026 (under 52 weeks); since then it traded between 242.83 (Jun 10, 2026) and 356.98 (Jul 7, 2026); the current price sits 23.6% below the high of that span.
WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT
Daily-return volatility of 2.00% runs elevated for this commodity, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. KC1 is currently trading 5.83% below its 20-day moving average and sitting in the middle of its range since Mar 19, 2026. Its 14-day RSI reads 34.1, currently in neutral territory.
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders (US) (r=+0.75), BoE Consumer Credit (US) (r=+0.72), Imports (US) (r=+0.67)
Inversely correlated: Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index (US) (r=-0.81), Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (US) (r=-0.75), PPI Final Demand Ex Food Energy Trade (US) (r=-0.72), Producer Price Index MoM (US) (r=-0.71), House Price Index MoM (US) (r=-0.66)
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Nov 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.