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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Hong KongHong Kong Foreign Exchange Reserves held to 445.9B in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Hong Kong Foreign Exchange Reserves held to 445.9B in June 2026, released July 2026. The reading matched the 447B consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 14B. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Exchange Reserves averaged 440.38B, vs 437.4B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 94th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
445.9
Actual
447
Consensus
445.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.85 billion
across last 11 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 448.75
Actual: 445.9
Error: +2.85
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/HKD | ▲ Direct | +0.57 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Exchange Reserves (Hong Kong) was reported at 445.90 billion in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 447.00 billion by 1.10 billion. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 432.30 billion, ranging from 419.20 billion to 446.50 billion across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 443.87 billion, up from the prior three at 430.97 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 9.47 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 6.34 billion). In July readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Exchange Reserves has averaged 431.37 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/HKD (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with Nikkei 225, positively correlated (Bullish Nikkei 225). Over the last 11 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.85 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 7, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Foreign Exchange Reserves - HK
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About Foreign Exchange Reserves — Hong Kong
DEFINITION
Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to the amount of foreign currency held by a country's central bank. These reserves are used to maintain stability in the country's currency and to fulfill international payment obligations. They serve as a measure of a country's economic strength and ability to withstand external shocks. Foreign Exchange Reserves are an important financial indicator for investors and policymakers, providing insight into a country's monetary policy and its ability to manage its currency.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 445.9 B, consensus 447 B. Prior reading (May 2026): 446.5 B. Before that (Apr 2026): 442.1 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/HKD (Bullish USD, r=0.57) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
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Economic Calendar - HK Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:30 | HK | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 4.3 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 5.28 | Low |
| 08:30 | HK | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 4.3 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 5.28 | Low |
| 08:30 | HK | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | -0.6 | 2.9 | -0.3 | -0.45 | Low |
| 08:30 | HK | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.6 | 2.9 | -0.3 | 0.00 | Low |
| Tuesday, August 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | HK | Retail Sales YoY | 4.8 | 3.4 | 6.40 | Low | |