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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Hong KongHong Kong Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 442.9B in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Hong Kong Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 442.9B in August 2026, released September 2026, down 5B from July's 447.9B reading. The reading matched the 447.9B consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 21.3B. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Exchange Reserves averaged 446.85B, vs 440.38B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 85th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
442.9
Actual
447.9
Consensus
447.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.58 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 448.08
Actual: 442.9
Error: +5.18
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/HKD | ▲ Direct | +0.68 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Exchange Reserves (Hong Kong) was reported at 442.90 billion in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 447.90 billion by 5.00 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 447.90 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 437.16 billion, ranging from 419.20 billion to 447.80 billion across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 445.53 billion, up from the prior three at 440.43 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 9.34 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 6.38 billion). In September readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Exchange Reserves has averaged 429.30 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/HKD (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.58 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 8, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Foreign Exchange Reserves - HK
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About Foreign Exchange Reserves — Hong Kong
DEFINITION
Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to the amount of foreign currency held by a country's central bank. These reserves are used to maintain stability in the country's currency and to fulfill international payment obligations. They serve as a measure of a country's economic strength and ability to withstand external shocks. Foreign Exchange Reserves are an important financial indicator for investors and policymakers, providing insight into a country's monetary policy and its ability to manage its currency.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 442.9 B, consensus 447.9 B. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 447.8 B. Before that (Jun 2026): 445.9 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/HKD (Bullish USD, r=0.68) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - HK Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:30 | HK | Industrial Production YoY | 2.3 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 2.40 | Low |