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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Hong KongHong Kong GDP Deflator (Annual %) fell to 1.02 Percent in December 2025
World BankYearlyReleased December 2025
Hong Kong GDP Deflator (Annual %) fell to 1.02 Percent in December 2025, down 3.13 Percent from November's 4.16 Percent reading.
Latest Release
1.024479
Actual
—
Consensus
4.158848
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Deflator (Annual %) (Hong Kong) was reported at 1.02 Percent in December 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 4.16 Percent. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
In December readings over the past 3 years, GDP Deflator (Annual %) has averaged 2.69 Percent.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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GDP Deflator (Annual %) - HK
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About GDP Deflator (Annual %) — Hong Kong
DEFINITION
Hong Kong's GDP Deflator (Annual %) for December 2025 registered at 1.024479%, sharply missing the previous 4.158848% recorded in December 2024. This significant deceleration signals a marked slowdown in inflationary pressures over the year. Market participants will closely watch upcoming data for further clarity on the territory's inflation trajectory. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary tailwind in the projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - HK Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:30 | HK | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 4.3 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 5.28 | Low |
| 08:30 | HK | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 4.3 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 5.28 | Low |
| 08:30 | HK | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | -0.6 | 2.9 | -0.3 | -0.45 | Low |
| 08:30 | HK | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.6 | 2.9 | -0.3 | 0.00 | Low |
| Tuesday, August 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | HK | Retail Sales YoY | 4.8 | 3.4 | 6.40 | Low | |