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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
HungaryHungary Trade (% of GDP) fell to 140.78 Percent in December 2025
World BankYearlyReleased December 2025
Hungary Trade (% of GDP) fell to 140.78 Percent in December 2025, down 7.15 Percent from November's 147.93 Percent reading.
Latest Release
140.779304
Actual
—
Consensus
147.926667
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Trade (% of GDP) (Hungary) was reported at 140.78 Percent in December 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 147.93 Percent. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 149.11 Percent, down from the prior three at 166.24 Percent. In December readings over the past 3 years, Trade (% of GDP) has averaged 149.11 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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Trade (% of GDP) - HU
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About Trade (% of GDP) — Hungary
DEFINITION
Hungary's Trade (% of GDP) for December 2025 registered at 140.779304%, down from December 2024's 147.926667%, marking a continued contraction in trade activity. The decline from 147.93% to 140.78% signals a weakening trade sector compared to the previous year. Market participants will monitor upcoming economic data for further insights into Hungary's external trade dynamics. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - HU Events
| Tuesday, August 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | HU | Interest Rate Decision | 5.75 | 5.5 | 5.50 | Low | |
| 12:00 | HU | Deposit Interest Rate | 4.75 | 4.5 | 4.50 | Low | |
| Thursday, August 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:30 | HU | Gross Wage YoY | 8.7 | 9 | 9.00 | Low | |
| Friday, August 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:30 | HU | Unemployment Rate | 4.5 | 4.3 | 4.40 | Low | |
| 06:30 | HU | Balance of Trade | 1305 | 1305 | 1305.00 | Low | |
| 06:30 | HU | Balance of Trade MoM | 1305 | 1305 | 1305.00 | Low | |