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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance CPI YoY fell to 1.8% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
France CPI YoY fell to 1.8% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.6% from May's 2.4% reading. The reading matched expectations. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 2.06%.
Latest Release
1.8
Actual
1.8
Consensus
2.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.07 percentage points
across last 6 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 1.75
Actual: 1.8
Error: -0.05
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.70 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| CAC 40 | ▲ Direct | +0.68 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.62 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.61 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.59 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI YoY (France) was reported at 2.1% in July 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.05%, ranging from 1.7% to 2.4% across 6 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2%, down from the prior three at 2.1%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with CAC 40, positively correlated (Bullish CAC 40). Over the last 6 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.08%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Industrial Production MoM (Aug 5) and Unemployment Rate (Aug 7).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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CPI YoY - FR
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About CPI YoY — France
DEFINITION
France's CPI YoY rose to 2.100000% in July, up from June's 1.800000%, marking a clear acceleration in inflation. This increase reverses the prior month's slowdown and signals renewed price pressures across the economy. Markets will watch for further central bank responses amid this inflation uptick. Updated 7/31/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 2.1 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 1.8 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 1.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.70) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - FR Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:30 | FR | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.2 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium |
| 05:30 | FR | Consumer Spending MoM | 0.4 | 0.3 | -0.1 | 0.15 | Medium |
| 05:30 | FR | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.75 | High |
| 05:30 | FR | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.2 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.20 | High |
| 05:30 | FR | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.75 | Medium |
| 05:30 | FR | Household Consumption MoM | 0.4 | 0.3 | -0.1 | 0.15 | Low |
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.45 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Producer Price Index YoY | 2.6 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 2.65 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.95 | High |
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.4 | 2 | 2.1 | 2.25 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.6 | -0.2 | -0.4 | -0.50 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | CPI MoM | 0.6 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.45 | Medium |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.45 | Medium |
| 06:45 | FR | HICP YoY | 2.4 | 2 | 2.1 | 2.25 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | HICP MoM | 0.6 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.45 | Medium |