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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance CPI YoY climbed to 2.1% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
France CPI YoY climbed to 2.1% in July 2026, released August 2026, up 0.3% from June's 1.8% reading. The reading matched expectations. Over the past 3 months, CPI YoY averaged 2.1%, vs 1.95% in the prior 3-month window.
Latest Release
2.1
Actual
2.1
Consensus
1.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.05 percentage points
across last 7 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 2.05
Actual: 2.1
Error: -0.05
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAC 40 | ▲ Direct | +0.59 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.51 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI YoY (France) was reported at 2.4% in August 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.1%, ranging from 1.7% to 2.4% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.2%, up from the prior three at 2%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with CAC 40 (Bullish CAC 40). A secondary relationship exists with Euro STOXX 50, positively correlated (Bullish Euro STOXX 50). Over the last 7 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.05%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep 23) and S&P Global Services PMI (Sep 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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CPI YoY - FR
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About CPI YoY — France
DEFINITION
France's CPI YoY rose to 2.400000% in August, up from July's 2.100000%, marking a clear acceleration in inflation. This increase reverses the prior month's moderation and signals renewed upward pressure on consumer prices. Market participants will watch for central bank responses amid this inflation uptick. Updated 8/28/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 2.4 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 2.1 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 2.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with CAC 40 (Bullish CAC 40, r=0.59) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - FR Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.80 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.40 | Low |