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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom New Passenger Car Registrations climbed to 350,536 in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
United Kingdom New Passenger Car Registrations climbed to 350,536 in September 2026, released October 2026, up 256,300 from August's 94,236 reading.
Latest Release
350536.000000
Actual
—
Consensus
94236.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.81 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.78 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.76 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.69 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.66 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
New Passenger Car Registrations (United Kingdom) was reported at 350,536.00 in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 94,236.00. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 177,545.17, ranging from 90,100.00 to 350,536.00 across 6 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 200,447.67, up from the prior three at 154,642.67.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 5, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC GBP speculative net positions (Oct 30) and S&P Global Construction PMI (Nov 5).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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New Passenger Car Registrations - UK
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About New Passenger Car Registrations — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
UK New Passenger Car Registrations surged to 350,536 in September, sharply rebounding from August’s 94,236. This marks a significant recovery after two months of subdued activity, with registrations nearly quadrupling month-over-month. The sharp increase may influence market expectations ahead of upcoming economic data releases. Updated 10/5/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 350,536. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 94,236. Before that (Jul 2026): 156,571.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100, r=0.81) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - UK Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 | UK | Auto Production YoY | 38.6 | 6.1 | 5 | 21.80 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 1.914 | 2.683 | 2.2 | 2.06 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.20 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 53.44 | 54.81 | 54 | 53.72 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Lending | 3.87 | 4.17 | 4.2 | 4.04 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals | 5.8 | 6.9 | 6.2 | 6.00 | Low |
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.55 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | 0 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.08 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Inflation Rate | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.40 | High |