MCK Stock Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

MCK

stocks
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Current Price

November 05, 2026
Market Closed
1092.89
Actual
October 05, 2026
+18.56%
921.81
1 Month Ago
November 05, 2025
+29.32%
845.10
1 Year Ago
52W HIGH
1,073.95
· Nov 4, 2026
52W LOW
723.68
· May 11, 2026
Highest close in our data
1,067.03
· Nov 2026coverage since 2019

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MCK · STOCKS
14-DAY FORECAST · 11/19/26
EXPECTED MOVE± 5.2%range 1036.04 – 1149.74 · 14D
785.45939.171092.891246.611400.3395%1265.7080%1185.8160%1149.74invalidation level60%1036.04invalidation level80%999.9795%920.08current 1092.89−28dtoday+7d+14d+28d

Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)

Upper / lower bound1149.74 / 1036.04
Outside-range leveloutside 1036.04 – 1149.74price exits the expected band (either side)
Containmentearly record · 57.5% (80 forecast-days · n_eff=8 independent windows) · CI 27–83%60% band · as of 4 Nov 2026 · n_eff as of 1 Nov 2026 · 80% band: early record · 77.5% (80 forecast-days · n_eff=8 independent windows) · CI 43–94%
Term structure · expected move by horizon

Containment = share of graded forecast-days the 60% band held; its 95% interval counts independent windows only (n_eff, non-overlapping, stride = horizon) — per-symbol audit; static backtest copy where the audit has no n_eff yet. Magnitude only, not a directional record.

Outcome legend
Magnitude · primary
How big was the move vs the forecast band?
+12.4%band-relative outcome efficiency
—efficiency not yet computed for this trade
Zone
Did price stay inside the expected band?
CONTAINEDentry price inside the expected band
BREACHED HIGHentry above the band's upper bound
BREACHED LOWentry below the band's lower bound
Magnitude· primary
LOWconviction

3 of 7 models in band

± 5.20% expected move

backtest — refresh paused (#568)

Actionable · size by band. The validated edge is magnitude, not direction.

Alignment· context only
2H up1D up1W up

Coherent trend across 2H/1D/1W.

Context, not a trade signal · forward test pending.

Descriptive — does not size the band.

Regime Read· options premium

loading premium read…

Suitability · premium context. Whether options are rich or cheap to own here — sizing input, not a price call.

Expected Range· 7–28d calibrated zone
Forecast batch: 11/5/26
Premium not graded

MCK's calibrated band puts the expected move at ±3.4% over 7 days, widening to ±8.0% over 28.

Premium grade: 2026-11-05 05:06 UTC

Sigmacast expected range · containment-audited · early record · 77.5% (80 forecast-days · n_eff=8 independent windows) · CI 43–94% · as of 4 Nov 2026 · n_eff as of 1 Nov 2026 → full record

Across 80 graded 14-day forecast-days since 11 Jun 2026 (8 independent windows), MCK's expected-range band contained price 77.5% of the time (95% CI 43–94%; stated rate: 80%).

As of November 5, 2026, MCK is trading at 1092.89. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this stock generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.

Signal Tracker Record / PerformancePast Performance →

Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.

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SETUP

McKesson Corporation (MCK) is a publicly traded stock covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The MCK stock closed at 1,092.89 on November 5, 2026, reflecting a gain of 2.42% from the previous close of 1,067.03. MCK is listed on the XSTU in Germany.

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

Over the past 30 days, the stock has experienced a strong uptrend with a rally of 26.09%, ranging between 847.28 and 1,118.39. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 998.10. The 14-day RSI stands at 76.4, in overbought territory.

THE RISK

Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 1.93%, reflecting typical price variability for this stock. Over the past 52 weeks, MCK traded between 723.68 (May 11, 2026) and 1,073.95 (Nov 4, 2026); the current price sits 1.8% above the 52-week high.

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Daily-return volatility of 1.93% runs elevated for this stock, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. MCK is currently trading 9.50% above its 20-day moving average and sitting in the upper portion of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 76.4, currently in overbought territory.

Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)

8 correlated indicators

Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.

Positively correlated: Total Vehicle Sales (US) (r=+0.83), ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders (US) (r=+0.75), Crude Oil Production (Monthly) (US) (r=+0.75), BoE Consumer Credit (US) (r=+0.72)

Inversely correlated: Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index (US) (r=-0.81), PPI Final Demand Ex Food Energy Trade (US) (r=-0.76), Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (US) (r=-0.75), Producer Price Index MoM (US) (r=-0.71)

Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Nov 2026.

Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.