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Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone
Cheap vol watchForecast batch: 8/7/26
Premium grade: 2026-08-08 05:05 UTC
MDLZ carries a measurable expected travel range over the next 27 days — and the options market may not be paying full price for it. Sigmacast's calibrated band is sized from realized volatility and graded against every terminal close, with its containment rate audited across the last 15 forecasts. All three horizons are graded on the same premium scale — where each one landed is below.
Market-data read
MDLZ reads range-bound — no clean directional character at any horizon (ER 0.54 / 0.20 / 0.09). Recent action is directionless chop rather than a trend. Term-structure band: ±2.7% / ±4.1% / ±6.4% (7/14/28d).
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: Total Vehicle Sales (r=+0.89), All Car Sales (r=+0.74), Advance Retail Sales (r=+0.73), BoE Consumer Credit (r=+0.70)
Inversely correlated: Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (r=-0.92), PCE Price Index MoM (r=-0.86), Financial Activities Payrolls (r=-0.75), CPI Food at Home (r=-0.68)
As of August 9, 2026, MDLZ is trading at 62.59. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this stock generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
Market-data read
Mondelez International Inc. Depositary Receipt (MDLZ) is a publicly traded stock covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The MDLZ stock closed at 62.5950 on August 7, 2026, reflecting a decline of 0.29% from the previous close of 62.7800. MDLZ is listed on the BCBA in Argentina.
Over the past 30 days, the stock has experienced a modest uptrend with a rally of 3.09%, ranging between 57.7800 and 66.6500. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 61.3287. The 14-day RSI stands at 55.2, in neutral territory, indicating balanced momentum.
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 2.02%, reflecting typical price variability for this stock. Across the past 52 weeks, the stock has traded between 51.2800 and 66.6500, with the current price near the midrange of that range.
Daily-return volatility of 2.02% runs elevated for this stock, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. MDLZ is currently trading 2.06% above its 20-day moving average and sitting in the middle of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 55.2, currently in neutral territory.
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Aug 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.