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Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone
Forecast batch: 10/21/26
Premium grade: 2026-10-22 05:08 UTC
VLO's calibrated band puts the expected move at ±3.7% over 7 days, widening to ±8.6% over 28. Options are currently pricing in line with the band (VRP ≈ 1.51×) — premium screens fair on this scale. That grade is the same at all three horizons — each one's band is below.
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: Total Vehicle Sales (r=+0.83), Crude Oil Production (Monthly) (r=+0.73), BoE Consumer Credit (r=+0.72), Imports (r=+0.67)
Inversely correlated: Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (r=-0.85), 5-Year Note Auction (r=-0.83), Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index (r=-0.81), Producer Price Index MoM (r=-0.71)
As of October 22, 2026, VLO is trading at 436.88. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this stock generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) is a publicly traded stock covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The VLO stock closed at 436.88 on October 21, 2026, reflecting a gain of 0.70% from the previous close of 433.82. VLO is listed on the BMV in Mexico.
Over the past 30 days, the stock has experienced a strong uptrend with a rally of 13.33%, ranging between 364.96 and 461.52. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 421.77. The 14-day RSI stands at 61.0, in the upper part of its range.
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 2.46%, reflecting typical price variability for this stock. Across the past 52 weeks, the stock has traded between 156.26 and 461.52, with the current price near the high end of that range.
Daily-return volatility of 2.46% runs elevated for this stock, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. VLO is currently trading 3.58% above its 20-day moving average and sitting in the upper portion of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 61.0, currently in neutral territory.
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Oct 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.