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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ArgentinaArgentina Budget Balance fell to 1,427M in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Argentina Budget Balance fell to 1,427M in September 2026, released October 2026, down 563M from August's 1,990M reading.
Latest Release
1427.000000
Actual
—
Consensus
1990.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.62 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Budget Balance (Argentina) was reported at 1,427.00 million in October 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 1,990.00 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1,163.89 million, ranging from -697.00 million to 2,960.00 million across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2,125.67 million, up from the prior three at 620.00 million.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 16, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Budget Balance - AR
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About Budget Balance — Argentina
DEFINITION
Budget Balance is a financial indicator that measures the difference between a government's total revenue and total expenditure over a specific period of time. It provides insight into the fiscal health of a country or organization, indicating whether there is a surplus or deficit in their budget. This indicator is crucial in determining the government's ability to meet its financial obligations and make strategic decisions for future spending. A positive budget balance indicates a healthy financial position, while a negative balance may signal potential financial challenges.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Fiscal and debt-supply data influence sovereign-yield term premia and currency expectations, particularly when supply pressures interact with policy normalization. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 1,427 M. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 1,990 M. Before that (Jul 2026): 2,960 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP, r=-0.62) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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