Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwitzerlandSwitzerland KOF Leading Indicators fell to 107.6 in October 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Switzerland KOF Leading Indicators fell to 107.6 in October 2026, down 1.5 from September's 109.1 reading. The reading matched the 108.3 consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 102.13. Over the past 3 months, KOF Leading Indicators averaged 107.9, vs 100.9 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 94th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
107.6
Actual
108.3
Consensus
109.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.71
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 107.48
Actual: 109.1
Error: -1.63
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.55 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
KOF Leading Indicators (Switzerland) was reported at 107.60 in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 108.30 by 0.70. The reading fell from the previous value of 109.10. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 102.52, ranging from 96.10 to 109.10 across 11 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 106.43, up from the prior three at 98.43. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.45) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.26). In September readings over the past 3 years, KOF Leading Indicators has averaged 104.20.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.71.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include procure.ch Manufacturing PMI (Nov 2) and Inflation Rate YoY (Nov 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
SHARE
KOF Leading Indicators - CH
Loading chart data...
About KOF Leading Indicators — Switzerland
DEFINITION
KOF Leading Indicators is a widely recognized financial indicator that provides valuable insights into the future economic performance of a country. It is based on a composite index of several key economic factors, such as consumer confidence, business sentiment, and stock market trends. This indicator is used by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and anticipate potential changes in the economy. With its reliable track record and comprehensive approach, KOF Leading Indicators is a crucial tool for assessing the overall health and direction of a country's economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 107.6, consensus 108.3. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 109.1. Before that (Aug 2026): 106.7.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100, r=-0.55) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - CH Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | CH | KOF Leading Indicators | 107.6 | 109.1 | 108.3 | 107.95 | Medium |