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Data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS CPI Shelter climbed to 429.1 in June 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsMonthlyReleased July 2026
US CPI Shelter climbed to 429.1 in June 2026, released July 2026, up 0.59 from May's 428.5 reading.
Latest Release
429.095000
Actual
—
Consensus
428.501000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.92 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.86 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.86 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.84 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.71 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI Shelter (United States) was reported at 429.10 Index 1982-84=100 in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 428.50 Index 1982-84=100. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 424.63 Index 1982-84=100, ranging from 419.43 Index 1982-84=100 to 429.10 Index 1982-84=100 across 9 releases. This is classified as a critical-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 428.53 Index 1982-84=100, up from the prior three at 424.55 Index 1982-84=100. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.34 Index 1982-84=100) is lower than the prior year (σ 3.94 Index 1982-84=100). In July readings over the past 3 years, CPI Shelter has averaged 415.39 Index 1982-84=100.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/USD, positively correlated (Bullish AUD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Sep 11) and CPI s.a (Sep 11).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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CPI Shelter - US
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About CPI Shelter — United States
DEFINITION
US CPI Shelter rose to 427.998 in May, up from April’s 426.642, marking a steady increase in housing costs. The data shows continued upward pressure on shelter expenses, reflecting persistent inflationary trends in the sector. Market participants will watch upcoming inflation reports closely as the Federal Reserve maintains a cautious stance. Updated 7/4/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Releases in this category are tier-1 market events that frequently produce same-session cross-asset repricing. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 429.1 Index 1982-84=100. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 428.5 Index 1982-84=100. Before that (May 2026): 428 Index 1982-84=100.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR, r=0.92) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Thursday, September 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.4 | 4.55 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index | 157.411 | 156.784 | 157 | 157.21 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 4.6 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 4.60 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1774 | 1775 | 1780 | 1777.00 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 206 | 207 | 205 | 205.50 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.25 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | 5.4 | 4.8 | 5.3 | 5.35 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 206 | 207.5 | 206 | 206.00 | Low |
| 13:20 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.4 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.55 | Medium |
| 14:00 | US | Existing Home Sales | 3.98 | 4.06 | 3.98 | 3.98 | High |
| 14:00 | US | Existing Home Sales MoM | -2 | -1.7 | -0.2 | -1.10 | Medium |
| 14:00 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 1.30 | Low |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 40 | 30 | 31 | 35.50 | Low |
| 15:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.4 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.55 | Medium |
| 16:00 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 2.087 | 0.796 | -0.7 | 0.69 | Low |
| 16:00 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -0.391 | -4.45 | -1.6 | -1.00 | Medium |
| 16:00 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 1.269 | -1.173 | -1.4 | -0.07 | Medium |
| Friday, September 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI s.a | 332.81 | 334.14 | 334.14 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.20 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI | 333.92 | 334.85 | 334.85 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | 51.9 | 51.3 | 52.40 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 51.5 | 50.5 | 53.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 51.7 | 51 | 52.45 | High | |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 4 | 3.9 | 3.80 | Low | |
| 18:00 | US | Monthly Budget Statement | -432 | -480 | -480.00 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | US | Budget Balance | -432 | -404 | -404.00 | Medium | |
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.8 | 3.8999 | 3.90 | Low | |