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Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone
Forecast batch: 8/9/26
LB1's band is still building its audit record. Sigmacast's calibrated band is sized from realized volatility and graded against every terminal close as its audit record builds. Horizon grades appear as each one's history matures — current status is below.
Market-data read
LB1 screens momentum-down across horizons. The 7- and 14-day paths both track lower (ER 0.88 / 0.94) — a consistent, low-noise downtrend rather than chop. Term-structure band: ±1.7% / ±2.1% / ±2.5% (7/14/28d).
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: Total Vehicle Sales (r=+0.89), All Car Sales (r=+0.74), Advance Retail Sales (r=+0.73), BoE Consumer Credit (r=+0.70)
Inversely correlated: Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (r=-0.92), PCE Price Index MoM (r=-0.86), Financial Activities Payrolls (r=-0.75), CPI Food at Home (r=-0.68)
As of August 9, 2026, LB1 is trading at 578.86. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this commodity generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
Market-data read
Lumber Futures (LB1) is a commodity instrument tracked by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The LB1 commodity closed at 579.16 on August 9, 2026, reflecting a gain of 0.05% from the previous close of 578.90.
Over the past 30 days, the commodity has experienced a strong downtrend with a decline of 7.08%, ranging between 571.85 and 663.86. The price currently trades below its 20-day moving average of 623.69. The 14-day RSI stands at 21.7, in oversold territory.
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 1.13%, reflecting typical price variability for this commodity. Across the past 52 weeks, the commodity has traded between 508.39 and 663.86, with the current price near the midrange of that range.
Daily-return volatility of 1.13% is subdued for this commodity, leaving recent ranges compressed — watch for a decisive break of the band as the more telling development. LB1 is currently trading 7.14% below its 20-day moving average and sitting in the middle of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 21.7, currently in oversold territory.
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Aug 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.