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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FinlandFinland Consumer Confidence fell to -9.7% in October 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Finland Consumer Confidence fell to -9.7% in October 2026, down 4.8% from September's -4.9% reading. The reading missed the -6.0% consensus by 3.7%. Consumer Confidence has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged -3.95%, vs -7.03% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 19th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-9.7
Actual
-6
Consensus
-4.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.95 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: -5.8
Actual: -9.7
Error: +3.9
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.76 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.49 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Finland) was reported at -9.7% in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of -6% by 3.7%. The reading fell from the previous value of -4.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -7.56%, ranging from -11.5% to -3% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -5.87%, up from the prior three at -7.03%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.66%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.78%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged -8.03%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.95%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 27, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - FI
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About Consumer Confidence — Finland
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual -9.7 %, consensus -6 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): -4.9 %. Before that (Aug 2026): -3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.76) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - FI Events
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | FI | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 3.1 | 3.10 | Low | |
| 06:00 | FI | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | |