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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FinlandFinland Consumer Confidence held to -5.3% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Finland Consumer Confidence held to -5.3% in July 2026. The print exceeded the -6.0% consensus by 0.7%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -8.42%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged -7.9%, vs -11.5% in the prior 3-month window. Consumer Confidence is now the highest in 36 months.
Latest Release
-5.3
Actual
-6
Consensus
-5.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.3 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: -3.95
Actual: -5.3
Error: +1.35
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.72 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.39 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Finland) was reported at -5.3% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of -6% by 0.7%. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -7.95%, ranging from -11.5% to -5.3% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -7.03%, up from the prior three at -10.23%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.02%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.78%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged -6.3%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.3%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 27, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - FI
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About Consumer Confidence — Finland
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual -5.3 %, consensus -6 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): -5.3 %. Before that (May 2026): -10.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.72) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - FI Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | FI | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.65 | Low |
| 05:00 | FI | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 0.25 | Low |