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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IsraelIsrael CPI YoY fell to 1.5% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Israel CPI YoY fell to 1.5% in July 2026, released August 2026, down 0.1% from June's 1.6% reading. The print came in cooler than the 1.6% consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 1.92%.
Latest Release
1.5
Actual
1.6
Consensus
1.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.1 percentage points
across last 4 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 1.55
Actual: 1.5
Error: +0.05
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI YoY (Israel) was reported at 1.5% in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1.6% by 0.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 15, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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CPI YoY - IL
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About CPI YoY — Israel
DEFINITION
Israel's CPI YoY for July came in at 1.500%, missing the 1.600% estimate and down from June's 1.600%. This marks a continued easing in inflation compared to the steady 1.9% readings from March through June. The lower inflation reading may influence market expectations ahead of upcoming central bank policy decisions. Updated 8/14/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 1.5 %, consensus 1.6 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 1.9 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 1.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IL Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | IL | Imports | 11138.4 | 9694.6 | 8200 | 9669.20 | Low |
| 10:00 | IL | Balance of Trade | -5794.4 | -4227.3 | -2700 | -4247.20 | Low |
| 10:00 | IL | Exports | 5344 | 5467.3 | 5500 | 5422.00 | Low |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | IL | Unemployment Rate | 3.1 | 3 | 2.95 | Low | |
| 15:30 | IL | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.45 | Low | |
| 15:30 | IL | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.45 | Low | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | IL | GDP Growth Annualized | 15.4 | -2.2 | 15.4 | 15.28 | Low |
| 10:00 | IL | Current Account | -0.107 | -0.3 | 0.15 | Low | |