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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IsraelIsrael CPI YoY held to 1.9% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Israel CPI YoY held to 1.9% in May 2026, released June 2026. The print came in cooler than the 2.0% consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated.
Latest Release
1.9
Actual
2
Consensus
1.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.1 percentage points
across last 3 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 2
Actual: 1.9
Error: +0.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI YoY (Israel) was reported at 1.9% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 2% by 0.1%. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 14, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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CPI YoY - IL
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About CPI YoY — Israel
DEFINITION
Israel's CPI YoY for May held steady at 1.9%, matching April's reading and slightly missing the 2.0% estimate. The inflation rate remained unchanged from April's 1.9%, indicating stable price pressures in the economy. Market participants will watch upcoming central bank communications for guidance amid persistent low inflation. Updated 6/15/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 1.9 %, consensus 2 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 1.9 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 1.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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