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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IsraelIsrael Trade (% of GDP) fell to 52.99 Percent in December 2025
World BankYearlyReleased December 2025
Israel Trade (% of GDP) fell to 52.99 Percent in December 2025, down 1.39 Percent from November's 54.38 Percent reading.
Latest Release
52.989216
Actual
—
Consensus
54.382256
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Trade (% of GDP) (Israel) was reported at 52.99 Percent in December 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 54.38 Percent. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 55.12 Percent, down from the prior three at 55.59 Percent. In December readings over the past 3 years, Trade (% of GDP) has averaged 55.12 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Aug 31).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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Trade (% of GDP) - IL
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About Trade (% of GDP) — Israel
DEFINITION
Israel's Trade (% of GDP) for 2025 registered at 52.989216%, down from 54.382256% in 2024, marking a contraction in trade activity. The decline from 2024's level indicates a continued reduction in trade's share of GDP. Market participants will monitor upcoming economic data for further insights into Israel's trade dynamics. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IL Events
| Thursday, August 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | IL | Manufacturing Production MoM | -6.2 | 9.5 | 0.75 | Low | |