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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustriaAustria CPI YoY fell to 2.88% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Austria CPI YoY fell to 2.88% in July 2026, released August 2026, down 0.33% from June's 3.21% reading. The print came in hotter than the 2.7% consensus, a hotter print than forecasters anticipated. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 3.21%. Over the past 3 months, CPI YoY averaged 3.39%, vs 3.1% in the prior 3-month window.
Latest Release
2.88
Actual
2.7
Consensus
3.21
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.12 percentage points
across last 4 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 2.74
Actual: 2.88
Error: -0.14
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.72 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI YoY (Austria) was reported at 3.2% in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.88%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.15%, ranging from 2.3% to 3.77% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.93%, down from the prior three at 3.66%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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CPI YoY - AT
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About CPI YoY — Austria
DEFINITION
Austria's CPI YoY rose to 3.200% in August, up from July's 2.880%, marking a clear acceleration in inflation. This increase reverses the prior month's decline and signals renewed upward pressure on consumer prices. Markets will closely watch upcoming data for further inflation trends amid ongoing monetary policy considerations. Updated 9/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 3.2 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 2.88 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 2.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR, r=0.72) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - AT Events
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | AT | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.2 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 3.20 | Low |
| 07:00 | AT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | 0 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low |
| 07:00 | AT | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 2.90 | Low |
| 07:00 | AT | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low |