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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PhilippinesPhilippines Full Year GDP Growth fell to 4.4 in January 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased January 2026
Philippines Full Year GDP Growth fell to 4.4 in January 2026, down 1.2 from December's 5.6 reading. The print came in cooler than the 5.4 consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.61. Full Year GDP Growth is now the lowest in 48 months.
Latest Release
4.4
Actual
5.4
Consensus
5.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.2 percentage points
across last 3 releases
Last Call
Jan 2026
Predicted: 5.4
Actual: 4.4
Error: +1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The January 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 5.6. Over the last 3 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.2. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Watch) and negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Watch).
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Full Year GDP Growth - PH
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