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Hong Kong S&P Global PMI climbed to 50.4 in May 2026, released June 2026, up 1.8 from April's 48.6 reading. The reading matched the 49.1 consensus.
across last 12 releases
Jun 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.77 | INDEX | Bearish Hang Seng | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
S&P Global PMI (Hong Kong) was reported at 50.40 in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 49.10 by 1.30. The reading rose from the previous value of 48.60. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 51.37, ranging from 49.20 to 53.30 across 9 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 52.00, unchanged from the prior three. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.26) is comparable than the prior year (σ 1.22). In June readings over the past 3 years, S&P Global PMI has averaged 49.53.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.13.
The next release is scheduled for July 6, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
The S&P Global PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the economic health of the global manufacturing sector. It provides valuable insights into the current and future trends of production, new orders, employment, and supplier deliveries. This data is collected from surveys of purchasing managers in various industries and countries, making it a reliable and comprehensive measure of economic activity. The S&P Global PMI is used by investors, businesses, and policymakers to make informed decisions and assess the overall state of the global economy.
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 50.4, consensus 49.1. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 48.6. Before that (Mar 2026): 49.3.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng, r=-0.77) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
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| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:30 | Unemployment Rate | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.68 | Low | |