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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IsraelIsrael Manufacturing PMI fell to 50.2 in March 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased April 2025
Israel Manufacturing PMI fell to 50.2 in March 2025, released April 2025, down 1.3 from February's 51.5 reading. The reading matched the 52 consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 0.8. Over the past 3 months, Manufacturing PMI averaged 47.86, vs 47.65 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 64th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
50.2
Actual
52
Consensus
51.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.58
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Apr 2025
Predicted: 52.46
Actual: 50.2
Error: +2.26
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Manufacturing PMI (Israel) was reported at 50.20 in April 2025. This missed the market consensus of 52.00 by 1.80. The reading fell from the previous value of 51.50.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 49.37, up from the prior three at 46.43.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.58.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update April 2025.
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Manufacturing PMI - IL
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About Manufacturing PMI — Israel
DEFINITION
Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) is a key economic indicator that measures the health of the manufacturing sector in a country. It is based on a monthly survey of purchasing managers from various industries, providing valuable insights into production levels, new orders, employment, and supplier deliveries. A PMI reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector, while a reading below 50 suggests contraction. This widely followed indicator is used by investors, businesses, and policymakers to assess the overall economic performance and make informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Mar 2025): actual 50.2, consensus 52. Prior reading (Feb 2025): 51.5. Before that (Jan 2025): 46.4.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IL Events
| Sunday, June 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | IL | Manufacturing Production MoM | -18.1 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | |