Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ItalyItaly New Car Sales YoY fell to 7.6% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Italy New Car Sales YoY fell to 7.6% in May 2026, released June 2026, down 4.0% from April's 11.6% reading. The print exceeded the 2.5% consensus by 5.1%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 8.93%.
Latest Release
7.6
Actual
2.5
Consensus
11.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.1 percentage points
across last 3 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 4.5
Actual: 7.6
Error: -3.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | INDEX | Bullish EU | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
New Car Sales YoY (Italy) was reported at 7.6% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 2.5% by 5.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 11.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish EU).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Jun 26) and Consumer Confidence (Jun 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
SHARE
New Car Sales YoY - IT
Loading chart data...
About New Car Sales YoY — Italy
DEFINITION
New Car Sales YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the number of new cars sold by a particular company or industry. This metric is used to assess the overall health and growth of the automotive market, as well as the performance of individual companies within the industry. A positive YoY change indicates an increase in new car sales, while a negative change suggests a decline. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, analysts, and policymakers as it provides valuable insights into consumer spending and economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 7.6 %, consensus 2.5 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 11.6 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 7.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary tailwind in the projection.