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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
JapanJapan Adjusted Trade Balance fell to -0.09 T in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Japan Adjusted Trade Balance fell to -0.09 T in June 2026, down 0.29 T from May's 0.2 T reading. The print exceeded the -0.21 T consensus by 0.12 T. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.16 T.
Latest Release
-0.09
Actual
-0.21
Consensus
0.2
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Adjusted Trade Balance (Japan) was reported at -0.09 T in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of -0.21 T by 0.12 T. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.20 T. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC JPY speculative net positions (Jun 19) and CFTC JPY speculative net positions (Jun 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Adjusted Trade Balance - JP
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About Adjusted Trade Balance — Japan
DEFINITION
Japan's Adjusted Trade Balance for May came in at -0.090000 trillion JPY, beating the estimate of -0.210000 trillion JPY. This marks a sharp decline from April's surplus of 0.240000 trillion JPY, signaling a move into deficit territory. The shift pressures market expectations ahead of upcoming trade data and monetary policy reviews. Updated 6/17/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -0.09 T, consensus -0.21 T. Prior reading (May 2026): 0.24 T. Before that (Apr 2026): 0.09 T.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary tailwind in the projection.