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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IrelandIreland Consumer Confidence fell to 61.6% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Ireland Consumer Confidence fell to 61.6% in July 2026, down 0.6% from June's 62.2% reading. The reading matched the 62.0% consensus. Consumer Confidence has now risen for 3 consecutive months. The reading is in the 50th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
61.6
Actual
62
Consensus
62.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.95 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 65.95
Actual: 61.6
Error: +4.35
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.63 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.60 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Ireland) was reported at 61.6% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 62% by 0.4%. The reading fell from the previous value of 62.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 60.87%, ranging from 56.7% to 65.2% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 59.23%, down from the prior three at 62.47%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.12%) is lower than the prior year (σ 6.3%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged 65.2%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, positively correlated (Bullish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.95%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - IE
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About Consumer Confidence — Ireland
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 61.6 %, consensus 62 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 59.4 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 53.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.63) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IE Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | IE | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.25 | Low |
| 10:00 | IE | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.20 | Low |