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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IrelandIreland Consumer Confidence fell to 61.1% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Ireland Consumer Confidence fell to 61.1% in September 2026, down 2.1% from August's 63.2% reading. The reading matched the 63.0% consensus. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 62.67%, vs 55.33% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 42nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
61.1
Actual
63
Consensus
63.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.38 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 63.63
Actual: 61.1
Error: +2.53
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.81 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.60 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.39 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Ireland) was reported at 61.1% in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 63% by 1.9%. The reading fell from the previous value of 63.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 61.4%, ranging from 56.7% to 65.2% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 62.5%, up from the prior three at 59.23%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.29%) is lower than the prior year (σ 6.49%). In September readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged 64.9%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, positively correlated (Bullish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.38%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 2, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - IE
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About Consumer Confidence — Ireland
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 61.1 %, consensus 63 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 63.2 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 61.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.81) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - IE Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:01 | IE | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 55.5 | 55 | 55.00 | Low | |
| 23:01 | IE | Consumer Confidence | 61.1 | 60 | 60.00 | Low | |
| Tuesday, November 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | IE | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.8 | 3.9 | 3.90 | Low | |
| 11:00 | IE | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | |
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:01 | IE | S&P Global Services PMI | 54.1 | 53.4 | 53.75 | Low | |
| 11:00 | IE | Unemployment Rate | 5 | 5.1 | 5.10 | Low | |