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South Korea 2-Year KTB Auction climbed to 3.9% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 0.12% from August's 3.78% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
2-Year KTB Auction (South Korea) was reported at 3.9% in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.78%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.34%, ranging from 2.66% to 3.9% across 11 releases.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 3.78%, up from the prior three at 3.62%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.42%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.17%).
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with Nikkei 225, negatively correlated (Bearish Nikkei 225).
The next release is scheduled for November 2, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Exports YoY (Nov 1) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
The 2-Year KTB Auction is a financial indicator that measures the interest rate at which the Korean government issues 2-year bonds to investors. This auction is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it reflects the current market sentiment and the government's borrowing costs. A higher auction rate may indicate a stronger demand for government bonds, while a lower rate may suggest a lack of confidence in the economy. Overall, the 2-Year KTB Auction provides valuable insights into the financial health and stability of the Korean economy.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 3.895 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 3.779 %. Before that (Aug 2026): 3.68 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
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| Sunday, November 1, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Balance of Trade | 49.97 | 37.24 | 37.61 | Low | ||
| 00:00 | Imports YoY | 26 | 39.9 | 39.85 | Low | ||
| 00:00 | Exports YoY | 83.7 | 93.2 | 95.10 | Medium | ||
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 53.9 | 54.2 | 54.50 | Medium | ||