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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
South KoreaSouth Korea 2-Year KTB Auction climbed to 3.78% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
South Korea 2-Year KTB Auction climbed to 3.78% in August 2026, up 0.1% from July's 3.68% reading.
Latest Release
3.779000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.680000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
2-Year KTB Auction (South Korea) was reported at 3.78% in August 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.68%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.21%, ranging from 2.48% to 3.78% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 3.71%, up from the prior three at 3.41%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.45%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.19%). In August readings over the past 3 years, 2-Year KTB Auction has averaged 3.2%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with Nikkei 225 (Bearish Nikkei 225). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 6, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Consumer Confidence (Sep 22) and Business Confidence (Sep 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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2-Year KTB Auction - KR
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About 2-Year KTB Auction — South Korea
DEFINITION
The 2-Year KTB Auction is a financial indicator that measures the interest rate at which the Korean government issues 2-year bonds to investors. This auction is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it reflects the current market sentiment and the government's borrowing costs. A higher auction rate may indicate a stronger demand for government bonds, while a lower rate may suggest a lack of confidence in the economy. Overall, the 2-Year KTB Auction provides valuable insights into the financial health and stability of the Korean economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 3.779 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 3.68 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 3.665 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - KR Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:00 | KR | Import Prices YoY | 15.6 | 18.8 | 23 | 19.30 | Low |
| 21:00 | KR | Export Prices YoY | 42.4 | 48.9 | 52 | 47.20 | Low |