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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
South KoreaSouth Korea 5-Year KTB Auction fell to 3.94% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
South Korea 5-Year KTB Auction fell to 3.94% in September 2026, released October 2026, down 0.34% from August's 4.28% reading.
Latest Release
3.935000
Actual
—
Consensus
4.275000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KOSPI | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.53 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.51 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.25 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
5-Year KTB Auction (South Korea) was reported at 3.94% in October 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 4.28%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.76%, ranging from 3.06% to 4.28% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4.11%, up from the prior three at 4.05%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.4%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.11%). In October readings over the past 3 years, 5-Year KTB Auction has averaged 3.22%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with KOSPI (Bullish KOSPI). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 23, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Exports YoY (Nov 1) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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5-Year KTB Auction - KR
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About 5-Year KTB Auction — South Korea
DEFINITION
The 5-Year KTB Auction is a financial indicator that measures the interest rates at which the Thai government borrows money by issuing 5-year bonds, known as KTBs. This auction provides insight into the current state of the Thai economy and investor confidence in the government's ability to repay its debts. It is closely monitored by financial institutions and investors as it can impact the overall market sentiment and influence future borrowing costs for the government.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 3.935 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 4.275 %. Before that (Aug 2026): 4.131 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with KOSPI (Bullish KOSPI, r=0.55) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - KR Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00 | KR | Retail Sales MoM | 3.6 | -1.8 | 1.2 | 2.40 | Low |
| 23:00 | KR | Industrial Production MoM | 9 | -4.6 | 0.4 | 4.70 | Low |
| 23:00 | KR | Industrial Production YoY | 1.2 | -1.7 | 1.1 | 1.15 | Low |