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South Korea Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI fell to 44.06 in September 2026, released October 2026, down 0.21 from August's 44.27 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/KRW | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (South Korea) was reported at 44.06 in October 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 44.27. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 46.19, ranging from 44.06 to 49.99 across 11 releases.
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 44.28, down from the prior three at 46.59. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.74) is lower than the prior year (σ 4.11).
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/KRW (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Exports YoY (Nov 1) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
South Korea's Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI fell to 44.060000 in October from September's 44.270000, marking a continued decline. The index remains below 50, indicating contraction in consumer sentiment. Market participants will watch upcoming economic data for further signals on domestic demand. Updated 10/16/26
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 44.06. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 44.27. Before that (Aug 2026): 44.52.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/KRW (Bullish USD, r=0.42) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Sunday, November 1, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Balance of Trade | 49.97 | 37.24 | 37.61 | Low | ||
| 00:00 | Imports YoY | 26 | 39.9 | 39.85 | Low | ||
| 00:00 | Exports YoY | 83.7 | 93.2 | 95.10 | Medium | ||
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 53.9 | 54.2 | 54.50 | Medium | ||