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South Korea 10-Year KTB Auction climbed to 4.26% in June 2026, released July 2026, up 0.14% from May's 4.12% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.68 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/KRW | ▲ Direct | +0.53 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| KOSPI | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
10-Year KTB Auction (South Korea) was reported at 4.26% in July 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 4.12%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.53%, ranging from 2.82% to 4.27% across 11 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 4.21%, up from the prior three at 3.64%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.52%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.12%). In July readings over the past 3 years, 10-Year KTB Auction has averaged 3.43%.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with USD/KRW, positively correlated (Bullish USD).
The next release is scheduled for August 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug 3) and Inflation Rate YoY (Aug 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
The 10-Year KTB Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for 10-year government bonds in Thailand. It is conducted by the Bank of Thailand and provides insight into the country's economic stability and investor confidence. The results of the auction can impact interest rates and the overall performance of the bond market, making it an important indicator for investors and policymakers.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 4.255 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 4.115 %. Before that (May 2026): 4.273 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.68) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Saturday, August 1, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Exports YoY | 62.8 | 70.7 | 59 | 60.90 | Medium | |
| 00:00 | Imports YoY | 26.5 | 30 | 26.6 | 26.55 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Balance of Trade | 30.32 | 36.09 | 29.59 | 29.95 | Low | |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.1 | 52.5 | 52.80 | Medium | ||
| 23:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | ||
| 23:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Medium | ||