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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
South KoreaSouth Korea 10-Year KTB Auction fell to 4.16% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
South Korea 10-Year KTB Auction fell to 4.16% in September 2026, released October 2026, down 0.35% from August's 4.51% reading.
Latest Release
4.155000
Actual
—
Consensus
4.510000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.61 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/KRW | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| KOSPI | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
10-Year KTB Auction (South Korea) was reported at 4.16% in October 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 4.51%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.94%, ranging from 3.29% to 4.51% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4.36%, up from the prior three at 4.21%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.41%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.09%). In October readings over the past 3 years, 10-Year KTB Auction has averaged 3.35%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with USD/KRW, positively correlated (Bullish USD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 16, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Exports YoY (Nov 1) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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10-Year KTB Auction - KR
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About 10-Year KTB Auction — South Korea
DEFINITION
The 10-Year KTB Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for 10-year government bonds in Thailand. It is conducted by the Bank of Thailand and provides insight into the country's economic stability and investor confidence. The results of the auction can impact interest rates and the overall performance of the bond market, making it an important indicator for investors and policymakers.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 4.155 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 4.51 %. Before that (Aug 2026): 4.415 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.61) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - KR Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00 | KR | Retail Sales MoM | 3.6 | -1.8 | 1.2 | 2.40 | Low |
| 23:00 | KR | Industrial Production MoM | 9 | -4.6 | 0.4 | 4.70 | Low |
| 23:00 | KR | Industrial Production YoY | 1.2 | -1.7 | 1.1 | 1.15 | Low |