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South Korea 50-Year KTB Auction climbed to 4.72% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.1% from July's 4.62% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.61 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.41 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/KRW | ▼ Inverse | −0.41 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
50-Year KTB Auction (South Korea) was reported at 4.72% in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 4.62%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.73%, ranging from 2.63% to 4.72% across 11 releases.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 4.56%, up from the prior three at 3.88%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.65%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.14%). In September readings over the past 3 years, 50-Year KTB Auction has averaged 3.35%.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with Hang Seng, negatively correlated (Bearish Hang Seng).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Consumer Confidence (Sep 22) and Business Confidence (Sep 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
The 50-Year KTB Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and interest for 50-year Korean Treasury Bonds (KTBs) in the market. It is a key benchmark for assessing the long-term borrowing costs of the Korean government and provides insights into the overall sentiment and stability of the economy. This auction is closely monitored by investors, analysts, and policymakers as it reflects the confidence in the country's financial stability and future economic prospects.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 4.72 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 4.62 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 4.345 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.61) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:00 | Import Prices YoY | 15.6 | 18.7 | 23 | 19.73 | Low | |
| 21:00 | Export Prices YoY | 42.4 | 49.1 | 52 | 50.08 | Low | |