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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
South KoreaSouth Korea 50-Year KTB Auction climbed to 4.62% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
South Korea 50-Year KTB Auction climbed to 4.62% in July 2026, released August 2026, up 0.28% from June's 4.35% reading.
Latest Release
4.620000
Actual
—
Consensus
4.345000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.60 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| USD/KRW | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.41 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
50-Year KTB Auction (South Korea) was reported at 4.62% in August 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 4.35%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.53%, ranging from 2.57% to 4.62% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 4.41%, up from the prior three at 3.62%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.65%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.15%). In August readings over the past 3 years, 50-Year KTB Auction has averaged 3.33%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with USD/KRW, negatively correlated (Bearish USD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 11, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Sep 8).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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50-Year KTB Auction - KR
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About 50-Year KTB Auction — South Korea
DEFINITION
The 50-Year KTB Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and interest for 50-year Korean Treasury Bonds (KTBs) in the market. It is a key benchmark for assessing the long-term borrowing costs of the Korean government and provides insights into the overall sentiment and stability of the economy. This auction is closely monitored by investors, analysts, and policymakers as it reflects the confidence in the country's financial stability and future economic prospects.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 4.62 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 4.345 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 4.25 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.60) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - KR Events
| Monday, September 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00 | KR | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 3.8 | 3.7 | 3.80 | Low | |
| 23:00 | KR | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.65 | Low | |
| 23:00 | KR | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | |
| 23:00 | KR | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.80 | Low | |
| Tuesday, September 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 23:00 | KR | Unemployment Rate | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Medium | |