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South Korea 50-Year KTB Auction climbed to 4.35% in June 2026, released July 2026, up 0.09% from May's 4.25% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.60 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| USD/KRW | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
50-Year KTB Auction (South Korea) was reported at 4.35% in July 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 4.25%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.35%, ranging from 2.57% to 4.35% across 11 releases.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 4.17%, up from the prior three at 3.39%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.6%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.16%). In July readings over the past 3 years, 50-Year KTB Auction has averaged 3.31%.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with USD/KRW, negatively correlated (Bearish USD).
The next release is scheduled for August 14, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Exports YoY (Aug 1) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
The 50-Year KTB Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and interest for 50-year Korean Treasury Bonds (KTBs) in the market. It is a key benchmark for assessing the long-term borrowing costs of the Korean government and provides insights into the overall sentiment and stability of the economy. This auction is closely monitored by investors, analysts, and policymakers as it reflects the confidence in the country's financial stability and future economic prospects.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 4.345 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 4.25 %. Before that (May 2026): 3.915 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.60) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00 | Industrial Production YoY | 5.8 | -1.1 | 2.5 | 4.15 | Low | |
| 23:00 | Retail Sales MoM | 2.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.60 | Low | |
| 23:00 | Industrial Production MoM | 6.4 | -2.9 | 3 | 4.70 | Low | |