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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
South KoreaSouth Korea Trade (% of GDP) climbed to 86.36 Percent in December 2025
World BankYearlyReleased December 2025
South Korea Trade (% of GDP) climbed to 86.36 Percent in December 2025, up 1.72 Percent from November's 84.64 Percent reading.
Latest Release
86.361601
Actual
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Consensus
84.642495
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/KRW | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| KOSPI | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Trade (% of GDP) (South Korea) was reported at 86.36 Percent in December 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of 84.64 Percent. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 84.42 Percent, up from the prior three at 77.15 Percent. In December readings over the past 3 years, Trade (% of GDP) has averaged 84.42 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/KRW (Bullish KRW). A secondary relationship exists with KOSPI, positively correlated (Bullish KR).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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Trade (% of GDP) - KR
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About Trade (% of GDP) — South Korea
DEFINITION
South Korea's Trade (% of GDP) rose to 86.361601% in 2025, up from 84.642495% in 2024, marking a continued expansion in trade activity. The increase from 2024 to 2025 reflects strengthening external trade dynamics after a dip in 2023. Market participants will watch upcoming trade data for further confirmation of this growth trend. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/KRW (Bullish KRW, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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