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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
RussiaRussia Full Year GDP Growth held to 1.0% in February 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased February 2026
Russia Full Year GDP Growth held to 1.0% in February 2026. The reading missed the 1.1% consensus by 0.1%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 1.42%. Full Year GDP Growth is now the lowest in 24 months.
Latest Release
1
Actual
1.1
Consensus
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.1 percentage points
across last 3 releases
Last Call
Feb 2026
Predicted: 1.1
Actual: 1
Error: +0.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Full Year GDP Growth (Russia) was reported at 1% in February 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1.1% by 0.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through February 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.9%, up from the prior three at -0.17%. In February readings over the past 3 years, Full Year GDP Growth has averaged 2.9%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Gross Domestic Product YoY (Jun 17) and Interest Rate Decision (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2026.
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Full Year GDP Growth - RU
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About Full Year GDP Growth — Russia
DEFINITION
Full Year GDP Growth is a key economic indicator that measures the overall growth of a country's economy over the course of a year. It takes into account the total value of goods and services produced within a country's borders and is a crucial measure of economic health and stability. A high Full Year GDP Growth indicates a strong and growing economy, while a low or negative growth rate may signal economic challenges. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the overall economic performance of a country.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Feb 2026): actual 1 %, consensus 1.1 %. Prior reading (Feb 2025): 4.1 %. Before that (Feb 2024): 3.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.