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Austria Trade Balance fell to -763.8M in July 2025, released August 2025, down 316.3M from June's -447.5M reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Trade Balance (Austria) was reported at -763.80 million in August 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of -447.50 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2025.
The trailing three releases averaged -699.80 million, down from the prior three at -156.93 million.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2025.
Trade balance is a financial indicator that measures the difference between a country's exports and imports of goods and services. It is an important measure of a country's economic health and can indicate whether a country is a net importer or exporter. A positive trade balance indicates that a country is exporting more than it is importing, while a negative trade balance indicates the opposite. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and policymakers as it can impact a country's currency value, inflation, and overall economic growth.
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2025): actual -763.8 M. Prior reading (May 2025): -763.8 M. Before that (May 2025): -763.8 M.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | HICP YoY | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | CPI YoY | 3.51 | 3.7 | 3.75 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | CPI MoM | 0.39 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | HICP MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | ||