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Singapore Non-Oil Exports YoY climbed to 24.5% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 9.2% from March's 15.3% reading.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.76 | INDEX | Bearish Hang Seng | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.57 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | INDEX | Bearish Nikkei 225 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Non-Oil Exports YoY (Singapore) was reported at 38.40 in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 30.00 by 8.40. The reading rose from the previous value of 24.40. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 7.11%, ranging from -11.3% to 24.5% across 11 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 12.6%, down from the prior three at 13.3%. Volatility over the past year (σ 10.4%) is higher than the prior year (σ 6.97%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Non-Oil Exports YoY has averaged 9.2%.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 8.13%.
The next release is scheduled for July 17, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CPI YoY (Jun 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
Non-Oil Exports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the value of a country's exports, excluding any revenue generated from the sale of oil or petroleum products. This indicator provides valuable insights into a country's economic performance and its ability to diversify its export base. It is often used by investors and analysts to assess the overall health and competitiveness of a country's economy. A positive Non-Oil Exports YoY indicates growth in non-oil exports, while a negative reading may suggest a decline in export activity.
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 38.4 %, consensus 30 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 24.5 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 15.3 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng, r=-0.76) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | Non-Oil Exports YoY | 38.4 | 24.4 | 30 | 34.20 | Low | |
| 00:45 | Balance of Trade | 5.573 | 13.132 | 7 | 6.29 | Low | |