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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
RussiaRussia Consumer Confidence fell to -16.0% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Russia Consumer Confidence fell to -16.0% in July 2026, released September 2026, down 3.0% from June's -13.0% reading. The reading missed the -14.0% consensus by 2.0%. Consumer Confidence has now declined for 5 consecutive months. Consumer Confidence is now the lowest in 39 months.
Latest Release
-16
Actual
-14
Consensus
-13
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2 percentage points
across last 11 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: -14
Actual: -16
Error: +2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Russia) was reported at -16% in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of -14% by 2%. The reading fell from the previous value of -13%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -13%, down from the prior three at -9.33%. In September readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged -10.67%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 11 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov 2) and GDP Growth Rate YoY (Nov 13).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - RU
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About Consumer Confidence — Russia
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual -16 %, consensus -14 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): -12 %. Before that (Oct 2025): -11 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - RU Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | RU | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49.8 | 50 | 50.10 | Medium | |
| Thursday, November 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | RU | S&P Global Composite PMI | 50.8 | 50.7 | 51.00 | Low | |
| 06:00 | RU | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.3 | 51.1 | 51.45 | Low | |