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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FinlandFinland Trade Balance climbed to -0.43B in October 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased November 2025
Finland Trade Balance climbed to -0.43B in October 2025, released November 2025, up 0.29B from September's -0.72B reading.
Latest Release
-0.430000
Actual
—
Consensus
-0.720000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.59 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.53 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Trade Balance (Finland) was reported at -0.43 billion in November 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.72 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through November 2025.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.06 billion, down from the prior three at 0.19 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update November 2025.
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Trade Balance - FI
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About Trade Balance — Finland
DEFINITION
Trade balance is a financial indicator that measures the difference between a country's exports and imports of goods and services. It is an important measure of a country's economic health and can indicate whether a country is a net importer or exporter. A positive trade balance indicates that a country is exporting more than it is importing, while a negative trade balance indicates the opposite. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and policymakers as it can impact a country's currency value, inflation, and overall economic growth.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2025): actual -0.43 B. Prior reading (Aug 2025): -0.69 B. Before that (Jul 2025): 1.3 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.59) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.