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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Hong KongHong Kong Exports MoM climbed to 53.4% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Hong Kong Exports MoM climbed to 53.4% in July 2026, up 12.6% from June's 40.8% reading.
Latest Release
53.400000
Actual
—
Consensus
40.800000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.70 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.64 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▲ Direct | +0.53 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.52 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Exports MoM (Hong Kong) was reported at 53.4% in July 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 40.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 27.54%, ranging from 14.3% to 53.4% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 45.7%, up from the prior three at 28.2%. Volatility over the past year (σ 12.73%) is higher than the prior year (σ 5.95%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Exports MoM - HK
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About Exports MoM — Hong Kong
DEFINITION
Exports MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the change in a country's total exports from one month to the next. It is used by economists and investors to track the performance of a country's international trade and can provide insights into the overall health of its economy. A positive change in Exports MoM indicates an increase in exports, which can lead to economic growth and a stronger currency. Conversely, a negative change may suggest a decline in exports, which can have a negative impact on a country's economy. This indicator is often closely monitored by policymakers and businesses to make informed decisions about trade and investment strategies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 53.4 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 40.8 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 42.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.70) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - HK Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:30 | HK | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 4.3 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 5.28 | Low |
| 08:30 | HK | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 4.3 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 5.28 | Low |
| 08:30 | HK | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | -0.6 | 2.9 | -0.3 | -0.45 | Low |
| 08:30 | HK | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.6 | 2.9 | -0.3 | 0.00 | Low |
| Tuesday, August 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | HK | Retail Sales YoY | 4.8 | 3.4 | 6.40 | Low | |