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Hong Kong Exports MoM climbed to 64.9% in October 2026, up 11.9% from September's 53.0% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.67 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.49 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/HKD | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Exports MoM (Hong Kong) was reported at 64.9% in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 53%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 38.78%, ranging from 17.5% to 64.9% across 11 releases.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 56.2%, up from the prior three at 45.7%. Volatility over the past year (σ 15.07%) is higher than the prior year (σ 4.99%).
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
Exports MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the change in a country's total exports from one month to the next. It is used by economists and investors to track the performance of a country's international trade and can provide insights into the overall health of its economy. A positive change in Exports MoM indicates an increase in exports, which can lead to economic growth and a stronger currency. Conversely, a negative change may suggest a decline in exports, which can have a negative impact on a country's economy. This indicator is often closely monitored by policymakers and businesses to make informed decisions about trade and investment strategies.
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 64.9 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 53 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 50.7 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.67) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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