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Hong Kong Exports MoM fell to 50.7% in July 2026, released August 2026, down 2.7% from June's 53.4% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.63 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/HKD | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Exports MoM (Hong Kong) was reported at 50.7% in August 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 53.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 30.85%, ranging from 14.5% to 53.4% across 11 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 48.3%, up from the prior three at 33.8%. Volatility over the past year (σ 13.57%) is higher than the prior year (σ 5.53%).
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with Hang Seng, positively correlated (Bullish Hang Seng).
The next release is scheduled for September 24, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
Exports MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the change in a country's total exports from one month to the next. It is used by economists and investors to track the performance of a country's international trade and can provide insights into the overall health of its economy. A positive change in Exports MoM indicates an increase in exports, which can lead to economic growth and a stronger currency. Conversely, a negative change may suggest a decline in exports, which can have a negative impact on a country's economy. This indicator is often closely monitored by policymakers and businesses to make informed decisions about trade and investment strategies.
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 50.7 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 53.4 %. Before that (May 2026): 40.8 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.63) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
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| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:30 | Industrial Production YoY | 2.3 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 2.40 | Low | |