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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
HungaryHungary Balance of Trade MoM climbed to 501.8M in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Hungary Balance of Trade MoM climbed to 501.8M in May 2026, released June 2026, up 131.4M from April's 370.4M reading. The print exceeded the 103.7M consensus by 398.1M. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 744.05M.
Latest Release
501.8
Actual
103.7
Consensus
370.4
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Balance of Trade MoM (Hungary) was reported at 1,305.00 million in July 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 502.00 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 28, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Balance of Trade MoM - HU
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About Balance of Trade MoM — Hungary
DEFINITION
Hungary's Balance of Trade MoM surged to 1305 million HUF in July, sharply beating the previous 502 million HUF recorded in June. This marks a significant expansion in the trade surplus, more than doubling month-over-month. Market participants will watch for sustained momentum as the central bank evaluates economic conditions ahead. Updated 7/30/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 1,305 M. Prior reading (May 2026): 501.8 M. Before that (Apr 2026): 103.7 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - HU Events
| Tuesday, August 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | HU | Interest Rate Decision | 5.5 | 5.75 | 5.5 | 5.50 | Low |
| 12:00 | HU | Deposit Interest Rate | 4.5 | 4.75 | 4.5 | 4.50 | Low |
| Thursday, August 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:30 | HU | Gross Wage YoY | 8.7 | 9 | 9.00 | Low | |
| Friday, August 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:30 | HU | Unemployment Rate | 4.5 | 4.3 | 4.40 | Low | |
| 06:30 | HU | Balance of Trade | 1305 | 1305 | 732.00 | Low | |
| 06:30 | HU | Balance of Trade MoM | 1305 | 1305 | 1305.00 | Low | |