What is the FTSE 100 forecast?

The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) is forecasted using our adaptive model ensemble that generates 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day predictions with confidence intervals and expected zone analysis. View the latest FTSE 100 forecast on this page.

What is the FTSE 100 expected price range?

The FTSE 100 expected move is estimated as a symmetric range around the current level across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, derived from recent realized volatility. These are magnitude estimates, not directional predictions — see the expected-move ranges on this page.

How accurate are FTSE 100 predictions?

Sigmanomics tracks all forecast accuracy transparently. View median absolute error and zone-containment metrics for FTSE 100 and all other instruments on our Performance page at sigmanomics.com/performance.

How much could ^FTSE move?

^FTSE has an expected move of roughly ±1.2% over 7 days, ±1.8% over 14 days, ±2.8% over 28 days — symmetric ranges around the current price derived from recent realized volatility. These are magnitude estimates, not directional predictions. ^FTSE's recent path efficiency (ER) is 0.09 over the trailing 14 sessions, indicating a choppy, range-bound path.

FTSE 100 (^FTSE) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Primary economy: United Kingdom economic indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.

FTSE 100 (^FTSE) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone

Last Updated: 7/22/26

^FTSE reads range-bound — no clean directional character at any horizon (ER 0.75 / 0.09 / 0.20). Recent action is directionless chop rather than a trend. Term-structure band: ±1.2% / ±1.8% / ±2.8% (7/14/28d).

short-term trend: choppy · drifted up7d

7 Day^prov

± 1.2%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.53

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

7-day window · fewer obs, noisier

60/80/95 · ±1.2/1.8/2.9%

medium-term trend: choppy · drifted up14d

14 Day^prov

± 1.8%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.09

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

60/80/95 · ±1.8/2.8/4.4%

long-term trend: choppy · drifted up28d

28 Day^prov

± 2.8%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.18

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

60/80/95 · ±2.8/4.3/6.9%

Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)

Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)

8 correlated indicators

Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.

Positively correlated: Baden Wuerttemberg CPI YoY (r=+0.95), Bavaria CPI YoY (r=+0.95), Selling Price Expectations (r=+0.88), Balance of Trade (r=+0.87), Consumer Inflation Expectation (r=+0.85), Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (r=+0.84)

Inversely correlated: Industrial Production YoY (r=-0.96), Budget balance (r=-0.89)

^FTSE

indices

Current Price

July 22, 2026

Market Closed

10722.03

Actual

June 22, 2026

+3.45%

10363.96

1 Month Ago

July 22, 2025

+10.39%

9712.95

1 Year Ago

Upcoming Forecasts

View All Forecasts →

^FTSE · INDICES

14-DAY FORECAST · 8/5/26

EXPECTED MOVE± 1.8%range 10527.65 – 10916.41 · 14D

Upper / lower bound10916.41 / 10527.65

Outside-range leveloutside 10527.65 – 10916.41price exits the expected band (either side)

Containment~60% (provisional)band hits its stated rate (backtest)

Term structure · expected move by horizon

Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.

Outcome legend

Magnitude · primary

How big was the move vs the forecast band?

+12.4%band-relative outcome efficiency

—efficiency not yet computed for this trade

Zone

Did price stay inside the expected band?

CONTAINEDentry price inside the expected band

BREACHED HIGHentry above the band's upper bound

BREACHED LOWentry below the band's lower bound

· · · Explore all 9 models across all timeframes on Sigmanomics · · ·

Signal Tracker Record / PerformancePast Performance →

Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.

SETUP

The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) is a market index covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The ^FTSE index closed at 10,722.03 on July 22, 2026, reflecting a gain of 1.34% from the previous close of 10,580.59.

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

Over the past 30 days, the index has experienced a modest uptrend with a rally of 3.93%, ranging between 10,252.91 and 10,763.44. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 10,558.04. The 14-day RSI stands at 65.1, in the upper part of its range.

THE RISK

Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 0.70%, reflecting subdued price variability for this index.

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Daily-return volatility of 0.70% is subdued for this index, leaving recent ranges compressed — watch for a decisive break of the band as the more telling development. ^FTSE is currently trading 1.55% above its 20-day moving average. Its 14-day RSI reads 65.1, currently in neutral territory.

Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Jul 2026.

Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.

Primary economy: United Kingdom economic indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone

Last Updated: 7/22/26

short-term trend: choppy · drifted up7d

7 Day^prov

± 1.2%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.53

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

7-day window · fewer obs, noisier

60/80/95 · ±1.2/1.8/2.9%

medium-term trend: choppy · drifted up14d

14 Day^prov

± 1.8%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.09

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

60/80/95 · ±1.8/2.8/4.4%

long-term trend: choppy · drifted up28d

28 Day^prov

± 2.8%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.18

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

60/80/95 · ±2.8/4.3/6.9%

Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)

Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)

8 correlated indicators

Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.

Inversely correlated: Industrial Production YoY (r=-0.96), Budget balance (r=-0.89)

^FTSE

indices

Current Price

July 22, 2026

Market Closed

10722.03

Actual

June 22, 2026

+3.45%

10363.96

1 Month Ago

July 22, 2025

+10.39%

9712.95

1 Year Ago

Upcoming Forecasts

View All Forecasts →

^FTSE · INDICES

14-DAY FORECAST · 8/5/26

EXPECTED MOVE± 1.8%range 10527.65 – 10916.41 · 14D

Upper / lower bound10916.41 / 10527.65

Outside-range leveloutside 10527.65 – 10916.41price exits the expected band (either side)

Containment~60% (provisional)band hits its stated rate (backtest)

Term structure · expected move by horizon

Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.

Outcome legend

Magnitude · primary

How big was the move vs the forecast band?

+12.4%band-relative outcome efficiency

—efficiency not yet computed for this trade

Zone

Did price stay inside the expected band?

CONTAINEDentry price inside the expected band

BREACHED HIGHentry above the band's upper bound

BREACHED LOWentry below the band's lower bound

· · · Explore all 9 models across all timeframes on Sigmanomics · · ·

Signal Tracker Record / PerformancePast Performance →

Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 0.70%, reflecting subdued price variability for this index.

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Jul 2026.

Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.

FTSE 100 (^FTSE) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

FTSE 100 (^FTSE) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

^FTSE

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

^FTSE

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

FTSE 100 (^FTSE) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

FTSE 100 (^FTSE) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

^FTSE

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

→ SETUP

→ WHAT'S DRIVING IT

→ THE RISK

→ WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

^FTSE

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

→ SETUP

→ WHAT'S DRIVING IT

→ THE RISK

→ WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT