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Primary economy: United Kingdom economic indicators
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Containment = share of non-overlapping windows the 60% band held (per-symbol audit; static backtest copy where the audit has no rows yet) — magnitude only, not a directional record.
6 of 7 models in band
± 1.54% expected move
backtest — refresh paused (#568)
Actionable · size by band. The validated edge is magnitude, not direction.
Coherent trend across 2H/1D/1W.
Context, not a trade signal · forward test pending.
Descriptive — does not size the band.
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Suitability · premium context. Whether options are rich or cheap to own here — sizing input, not a price call.
^FTSE's calibrated band puts the expected move at ±1.0% over 7 days, widening to ±2.4% over 28.
Sigmacast expected range · containment-audited · 84.4% over 77 windows → full record
Across 77 graded 14-day windows since 11 Jun 2026, ^FTSE's expected-range band contained price 84.4% of the time (stated rate: 80%).
As of October 30, 2026, ^FTSE is trading at 10731.68. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this index generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) is a market index covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The ^FTSE index closed at 10,741.58 on October 30, 2026, reflecting a gain of 0.15% from the previous close of 10,725.97.
Over the past 30 days, the index has experienced a sideways movement with a rally of 0.04%, ranging between 10,368.03 and 10,892.21. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 10,674.77. The 14-day RSI stands at 53.4, in neutral territory, indicating balanced momentum.
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 0.63%, reflecting subdued price variability for this index. Our price history for ^FTSE begins Oct 30, 2025 (under 52 weeks); since then it traded between 9,423.90 (Nov 21, 2025) and 10,989.31 (Jul 31, 2026); the current price sits 2.3% below the high of that span.
Daily-return volatility of 0.63% is subdued for this index, leaving recent ranges compressed — watch for a decisive break of the band as the more telling development. ^FTSE is currently trading 0.63% above its 20-day moving average and sitting in the upper portion of its range since Oct 30, 2025. Its 14-day RSI reads 53.4, currently in neutral territory.
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: New Passenger Car Registrations (UK) (r=+0.81), Construction Output YoY (IT) (r=+0.79)
Inversely correlated: New Car Sales YoY (IT) (r=-0.91), Industrial Production YoY (DE) (r=-0.91), Interest Rate Decision (NO) (r=-0.82), Budget balance (FR) (r=-0.79), HCOB Composite PMI (FR) (r=-0.75), Gross Domestic Product YoY (HU) (r=-0.73)
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Oct 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.