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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
South AfricaSouth Africa Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 1.9% in January 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
South Africa Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 1.9% in January 2026, released June 2026, up 1.1% from December's 0.8% reading. The print exceeded the 1.8% consensus by 0.1%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.04%.
Latest Release
1.9
Actual
1.8
Consensus
0.8
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/ZAR | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish ZAR | → View |
| EUR/ZAR | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Bullish ZAR | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (South Africa) was reported at 1.9% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.8% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.6%, up from the prior three at 0.77%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/ZAR (Bullish ZAR). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 17) and Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - ZA
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — South Africa
DEFINITION
South Africa's Gross Domestic Product YoY rose to 1.900000% in June 2026, beating the 1.800000% estimate and up from 0.800000% in March 2026. This marks a clear acceleration in economic growth compared to the prior quarter, signaling expansion after a period of stagnation. Market focus will remain on upcoming data releases and central bank policy amid this improving growth backdrop. Updated 6/9/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 1.9 %, consensus 1.8 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): 0.8 %. Before that (Jul 2025): 2.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/ZAR (Bullish ZAR, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.