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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
South AfricaSouth Africa Trade (% of GDP) fell to 61.65 Percent in December 2024
World BankYearlyReleased December 2024
South Africa Trade (% of GDP) fell to 61.65 Percent in December 2024, down 4.03 Percent from November's 65.68 Percent reading.
Latest Release
61.646770
Actual
—
Consensus
65.679876
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/ZAR | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish ZAR | → View |
| EUR/ZAR | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Bullish ZAR | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Trade (% of GDP) (South Africa) was reported at 61.65 Percent in December 2024. The reading fell from the previous value of 65.68 Percent. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 64.09 Percent, up from the prior three at 53.61 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/ZAR (Bullish ZAR). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Jun 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2024.
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Trade (% of GDP) - ZA
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About Trade (% of GDP) — South Africa
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/ZAR (Bullish ZAR, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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