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South Africa Prime Rate held to 9.25% in March 2015. The reading matched the 9.25% consensus.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.65 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| USD/ZAR | ▼ Inverse | −0.62 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Prime Rate (South Africa) was reported at 10.5% in May 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 10.25%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 10.38%, ranging from 10.25% to 10.5% across 6 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 10.33%, down from the prior three at 10.42%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with USD/ZAR, negatively correlated (Bearish USD).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 17) and Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
The Prime Rate is a key financial indicator used by banks to determine the interest rates they charge on loans and credit products. It is the lowest rate at which banks are willing to lend money to their most creditworthy customers, such as large corporations and government entities. The Prime Rate is influenced by various economic factors and is often used as a benchmark for other interest rates in the market. As such, it is an important indicator for businesses and consumers to monitor when making financial decisions.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 10.5 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 10.25 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 10.25 %.
This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR, r=0.65) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 3.6 | 4.3 | 4.15 | Low | ||
| 08:00 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.90 | Low | ||
| 08:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.1 | 2 | 2.15 | Medium | ||
| 08:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 4 | 4.7 | 4.65 | Medium | ||
| 11:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 2.6 | 0.7 | 1.55 | Low | ||
| 11:00 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.1 | -1 | -0.35 | Low | ||
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | Building Permits YoY | 16.9 | 15 | 21.45 | Low | ||