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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
South KoreaSouth Korea Retail Sales YoY fell to -0.7% in October 2022
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2022
South Korea Retail Sales YoY fell to -0.7% in October 2022, down 3.1% from September's 2.4% reading.
Latest Release
-0.700000
Actual
—
Consensus
2.400000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/KRW | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish KRW | → View |
| KOSPI | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | INDEX | Bullish KR | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Retail Sales YoY (South Korea) was reported at -0.7% in October 2022. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.4%.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.1%, unchanged from the prior three.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/KRW (Bullish KRW). A secondary relationship exists with KOSPI, positively correlated (Bullish KR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Consumer Confidence (Jun 22) and Business Confidence (Jun 24).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2022.
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Retail Sales YoY - KR
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About Retail Sales YoY — South Korea
DEFINITION
Retail Sales YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the total value of goods and services sold by retailers compared to the same period in the previous year. It provides insight into the strength of consumer spending and overall economic growth, making it a key metric for investors, businesses, and policymakers. A positive YoY growth indicates an increase in consumer demand, while a negative growth may signal a decline in consumer confidence and potential economic slowdown.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Consumer activity accounts for the majority of GDP in advanced economies, making spending data a key cyclical signal for retail and discretionary sectors. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2022): actual -0.7 %. Prior reading (Aug 2022): 2.3 %. Before that (Jul 2022): -1.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/KRW (Bullish KRW, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.