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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
RussiaRussia Trade Balance fell to 5.58B in December 2024
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
Russia Trade Balance fell to 5.58B in December 2024, released February 2025, down 0.44B from November's 6.02B reading. The reading missed the 7B consensus by 1.42B.
Latest Release
5.58
Actual
7
Consensus
6.02
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.77 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.25 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Trade Balance (Russia) was reported at 7.47 billion in October 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 13.17 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2025.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 9.97 billion, up from the prior three at 9.84 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Gross Domestic Product YoY (Jun 17) and Interest Rate Decision (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2025.
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Trade Balance - RU
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About Trade Balance — Russia
DEFINITION
Trade balance is a financial indicator that measures the difference between a country's exports and imports of goods and services. It is an important measure of a country's economic health and can indicate whether a country is a net importer or exporter. A positive trade balance indicates that a country is exporting more than it is importing, while a negative trade balance indicates the opposite. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and policymakers as it can impact a country's currency value, inflation, and overall economic growth.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2025): actual 7.47 B. Prior reading (Jul 2025): 13.17 B. Before that (Jun 2025): 9.26 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.77) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.