Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
South AfricaSouth Africa S&P Global Manufacturing PMI fell to 49 Points in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
South Africa S&P Global Manufacturing PMI fell to 49 Points in September 2026, released October 2026, down 1.5 Points from August's 50.5 Points reading.
Latest Release
49.000000
Actual
—
Consensus
50.500000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| USD/ZAR | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (South Africa) was reported at 49.00 Points in September 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 50.50 Points. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 49.14 Points, ranging from 45.80 Points to 50.80 Points across 14 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 50.07 Points, up from the prior three at 47.63 Points. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.44 Points) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.06 Points). In October readings over the past 3 years, S&P Global Manufacturing PMI has averaged 49.97 Points.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 2, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Nov 10).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
SHARE
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - ZA
Loading chart data...
About S&P Global Manufacturing PMI — South Africa
DEFINITION
The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the performance of the manufacturing sector in major economies around the world. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the global manufacturing industry, serving as a key barometer for investors, businesses, and policymakers. The index is based on a monthly survey of purchasing managers, and its timely and accurate data is highly regarded for its ability to forecast economic trends and inform decision-making.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 49 Points. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 50.7 Points. Before that (Aug 2026): 50.5 Points.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - ZA Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | ZA | Budget Balance | -22.1 | 19.95 | -80 | -51.05 | Low |
| 12:00 | ZA | Balance of Trade | 19.8 | 18.97 | 25.4 | 22.60 | Medium |
| 12:15 | ZA | Budget Balance | -22.1 | 19.95 | -80 | -51.05 | Low |
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | ZA | ABSA Manufacturing PMI | 50.7 | 50.5 | 49.40 | Low | |
| 12:15 | ZA | Total Vehicle Sales | 61.65 | 64 | 64.00 | Low | |