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South Africa S&P Global Manufacturing PMI fell to 49.6 in May 2026, released June 2026, down 2 from April's 51.6 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.78 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| USD/ZAR | ▼ Inverse | −0.51 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (South Africa) was reported at 49.60 in May 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 51.60. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 49.59, ranging from 47.70 to 50.80 across 11 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 49.80, up from the prior three at 49.23. In June readings over the past 3 years, S&P Global Manufacturing PMI has averaged 50.40.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR).
The next release is scheduled for July 3, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 17) and Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the performance of the manufacturing sector in major economies around the world. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the global manufacturing industry, serving as a key barometer for investors, businesses, and policymakers. The index is based on a monthly survey of purchasing managers, and its timely and accurate data is highly regarded for its ability to forecast economic trends and inform decision-making.
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 49.6. Prior reading (May 2026): 50.8. Before that (Apr 2026): 51.6.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.78) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 3.6 | 4.3 | 4.15 | Low | ||
| 08:00 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.90 | Low | ||
| 08:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.1 | 2 | 2.15 | Medium | ||
| 08:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 4 | 4.7 | 4.65 | Medium | ||
| 11:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 2.6 | 0.7 | 1.55 | Low | ||
| 11:00 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.1 | -1 | -0.35 | Low | ||
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | Building Permits YoY | 16.9 | 15 | 21.45 | Low | ||