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Data from Emerging Markets composite. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
South AfricaSouth Africa SARB Repo Rate climbed to 7.25 Percent in August 2026
Emerging Markets compositeMonthlyReleased September 2026
South Africa SARB Repo Rate climbed to 7.25 Percent in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.25 Percent from July's 7 Percent reading.
Latest Release
7.250000
Actual
—
Consensus
7.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.75 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.36 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
SARB Repo Rate (South Africa) was reported at 7.25 Percent in August 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 7.00 Percent. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 6.92 Percent, ranging from 6.75 Percent to 7.25 Percent across 6 releases. This is classified as a critical-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 7.08 Percent, up from the prior three at 6.75 Percent. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.19 Percent) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.28 Percent). In September readings over the past 3 years, SARB Repo Rate has averaged 7.42 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Nov 10).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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SARB Repo Rate - ZA
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About SARB Repo Rate — South Africa
DEFINITION
South Africa's SARB Repo Rate rose to 7.250000 percent in September, up from July's 7.000000 percent, marking a clear tightening move. This increase reverses the stable readings seen in July and August at 7.000000 percent, signaling a shift in monetary policy stance. Market participants will now reassess interest rate expectations amid this upward adjustment. Updated 9/25/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Releases in this category are tier-1 market events that frequently produce same-session cross-asset repricing. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 7.25 Percent. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 7 Percent. Before that (May 2026): 7 Percent.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.75) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - ZA Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | ZA | Budget Balance | -22.1 | 19.95 | -80 | -51.05 | Low |
| 12:00 | ZA | Balance of Trade | 19.8 | 18.97 | 25.4 | 22.60 | Medium |
| 12:15 | ZA | Budget Balance | -22.1 | 19.95 | -80 | -51.05 | Low |
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | ZA | ABSA Manufacturing PMI | 50.7 | 50.5 | 49.40 | Low | |
| 12:15 | ZA | Total Vehicle Sales | 61.65 | 64 | 64.00 | Low | |