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India Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI fell to 64.32 in September 2026, released October 2026, down 2.6 from August's 66.92 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (India) was reported at 64.32 in October 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 66.92. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 62.61, ranging from 56.37 to 67.08 across 11 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 65.50, down from the prior three at 65.83. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.69) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.15).
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with Nikkei 225, negatively correlated (Bearish Nikkei 225).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Nov 12).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
India's Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI for October registered 64.320000, down from September's 66.920000, indicating a contraction in sentiment. The index fell by 2.6 points month-over-month, reversing the prior upward trend seen in August and September. Market participants will watch for further data to gauge momentum amid mixed economic signals. Updated 10/16/26
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 64.32. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 66.92. Before that (Aug 2026): 65.26.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.40) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:30 | Government Budget Value | -7144.1 | -7102.5 | -6800 | -6972.05 | Low | |
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 05:00 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 54.9 | 54.7 | 54.50 | Low | ||