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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndiaIndia WPI Food YoY climbed to 8.14% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
India WPI Food YoY climbed to 8.14% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 2.47% from August's 5.67% reading.
Latest Release
8.140000
Actual
—
Consensus
5.670000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.59 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| NIFTY 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
WPI Food YoY (India) was reported at 8.14% in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 5.67%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.62%, ranging from -8.31% to 8.14% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 6.42%, up from the prior three at 3.99%. Volatility over the past year (σ 4.16%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 3.81%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with NIFTY 50, negatively correlated (Bearish NIFTY 50).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MPC Meeting Minutes (Oct 21) and S&P Global Composite PMI (Oct 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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WPI Food YoY - IN
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About WPI Food YoY — India
DEFINITION
WPI Food YoY stands for Wholesale Price Index Food Year-over-Year and is a financial indicator that measures the change in the average price of food sold in the wholesale market over a 12-month period. This indicator is used by economists and investors to track inflation and assess the overall health of the food industry. A higher WPI Food YoY indicates an increase in food prices, while a lower WPI Food YoY suggests a decrease in prices. It is an important tool for analyzing the impact of food prices on the economy and making informed financial decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 8.14 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 5.67 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 5.44 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.59) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IN Events
| Thursday, October 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | IN | Balance of Trade | -30.21 | -26.86 | -29.5 | -29.86 | Medium |
| 09:00 | IN | Imports | 74.61 | 70.67 | 69 | 71.81 | Low |
| 09:00 | IN | Exports | 44.4 | 43.81 | 39.5 | 41.95 | Low |
| 10:30 | IN | Unemployment Rate | 5 | 5 | 5.2 | 5.10 | Low |
| Friday, October 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | IN | Bank Loan Growth YoY | 18.1 | 13.3 | 13.30 | Low | |