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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndiaIndia Trade (% of GDP) climbed to 46.27 Percent in December 2025
World BankYearlyReleased December 2025
India Trade (% of GDP) climbed to 46.27 Percent in December 2025, up 0.35 Percent from November's 45.92 Percent reading.
Latest Release
46.268201
Actual
—
Consensus
45.916691
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/INR | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Trade (% of GDP) (India) was reported at 46.27 Percent in December 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of 45.92 Percent. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 46.17 Percent, up from the prior three at 44.42 Percent. In December readings over the past 3 years, Trade (% of GDP) has averaged 46.17 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/INR (Bullish INR). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Manufacturing Production YoY (Jul 28) and Industrial Production YoY (Jul 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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Trade (% of GDP) - IN
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About Trade (% of GDP) — India
DEFINITION
India's Trade (% of GDP) rose to 46.268201% in 2025, up from 45.916691% in 2024, marking a modest increase. The data for 2025 shows a slight expansion in trade activity compared to the previous year. Market participants will watch upcoming economic indicators for further clarity on trade momentum. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/INR (Bullish INR, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IN Events
| Tuesday, July 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:30 | IN | Manufacturing Production YoY | 5.5 | 5 | 4.35 | Medium | |
| 10:30 | IN | Industrial Production YoY | 5.1 | 4.9 | 5.10 | Medium | |